A new NFL season and another year of NFL Underdogs picks brings with them some “first day of school” jitters.
I’ll be honest, even after almost two decades of breaking down the NFL odds for Covers.com, I still get nervous when it comes to Week 1.
Along with sweating my hard-earned coin on my weekly free NFL picks, I feel added pressure to prove to readers old and new that I know what I’m talking about. Much like the first day of school, you want to make a good impression in Week 1.
The 2023 NFL season, however, hits a little different than past Septembers.
The rapid growth of sports betting has brought with it more and more media types peddling picks and predictions, clogging up the hallways with deafening noise and overwhelming anyone new to the wagering space.
Week 1 of the NFL season doesn’t just feel like any old first day of school. This year feels like the first day of high school.
You’ve got some shady guy by the bleachers trying to DM you his “80% winning system” while the math club nerds are all wound up about their “advanced algorithms”. There’s a cute girl slinging a sign-up sheet for intermural “bet bonuses” and the jocks are talking tough about this “can’t-miss trend” and pressuring you to try out for something called the “SGP” team.
All those freshmen anxieties are there for the NFL season openers: Who’s coming back? Who’s gone? Who’s that new kid? And who’s going to bully my bankroll or be its best friend?
Week 1 carries equal parts excitement and abject terror but, just like school, it gets a little easier to stomach every week. And hey, you’ve got me sitting right next to you in class each and every Sunday, and I don’t mind if you cheat off my test. We’ll get through this together.
Let’s lace up our fresh new kicks, stuff our backpacks with plenty of points, and ace this Week 1 exam in NFL Underdog Betting 101. School is back in session.
Last season: 27-30 ATS
Last five years: 153-134-1 ATS